Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.724293 1.986640 2.269415 2.596129 2.962430 3.359664 3.822235
2024-11-03 1.314173 1.677791 2.104010 2.637056 3.282129 4.033611 4.971055
2024-11-10 1.021598 1.431027 1.948148 2.640965 3.535502 4.641356 6.100215
2024-11-17 0.800386 1.221190 1.789992 2.600154 3.706919 5.146341 7.136584
2024-11-24 0.634436 1.048516 1.644393 2.541459 3.829934 5.581627 8.103623
2024-12-01 0.528931 0.940070 1.565963 2.555454 4.039930 6.136147 9.259192
2024-12-08 0.439291 0.837461 1.477015 2.535579 4.188902 6.605805 10.319533
2024-12-15 0.384762 0.781248 1.449215 2.600181 4.461494 7.264216 11.684874
2024-12-22 0.329955 0.713689 1.391513 2.606352 4.638207 7.785657 12.874739
2024-12-29 0.301578 0.689206 1.402412 2.724205 4.998455 8.605600 14.558905
2025-01-05 0.272755 0.658309 1.396717 2.810495 5.310211 9.365352 16.189507
2025-01-12 0.235124 0.602186 1.336192 2.791077 5.438413 9.835384 17.385700
2025-01-19 0.209771 0.569027 1.317761 2.851341 5.718022 10.584748 19.099058
2025-01-26 0.185327 0.533285 1.289629 2.890750 5.964998 11.298271 20.801217
2025-02-02 0.160956 0.492512 1.245122 2.892766 6.143025 11.905050 22.360583
2025-02-09 0.136605 0.446107 1.181274 2.847655 6.227190 12.351688 23.671201
2025-02-16 0.114805 0.400943 1.112784 2.783758 6.267453 12.719581 24.862063
2025-02-23 0.100971 0.374453 1.083224 2.798698 6.461725 13.374123 26.585334
2025-03-02 0.087120 0.344246 1.039729 2.777123 6.578941 13.891086 28.086458
2025-03-09 0.079482 0.331301 1.037119 2.846925 6.887338 14.779527 30.295903
2025-03-16 0.070002 0.309777 1.008892 2.853578 7.062732 15.423420 32.086459
2025-03-23 0.066267 0.307038 1.030458 2.980928 7.504782 16.603368 34.921294
2025-03-30 0.061547 0.299555 1.037830 3.074135 7.878555 17.667850 37.584294